“50.4% of VBM ballots have been returned at this point.
49.3% of REP ballots have been returned and 54.3% of DEM ballots have been returned.”
That is good news. Nate Silver has said that for the Dems to overcome the election day GOP turnout, the VBM numbers prior to election day must favor the dems by a 70/30 split. If 50% of the VBM ballots have been returned, it is practically impossible for them to hit the 70/30 split with 25% of the overall VBM already in the GOP column. They’d need to run the remaining ballots to be mailed in at a 95/5 split.
TRUMP CLINTON
Electoral vote 29 0
Popular vote 4,617,886 4,504,975
Percentage 49.02% 47.82%