47-42 final result in Florida? You are an optimist. I love that!
I would take the Under on a 5 point spread....
PredictIt has a market on the Florida margin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6927/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-presidential-election-in-Florida
In that market, I bought $700 “NO” Rep winning by 6% or more and “NO” Dem winning by 6% or more.
Betting markets give Biden 15% of winning by 6% or more in Florida. Trump 6% of winning by 6% or more in Florida.
No I mean if we finish EV just down 5??
Wow.
LOL!! I live in BLUE/PURPLE COUNTY there and you guys make me chuckle!! Trump will win by 4 to 4.5!! I have worked this ground game since before Apr...Many people are missing MIAMI DADE..you are underestimating the Hispanic Vote for Trump and the VBM in PALM and BROWARD will end up being a down for Dems because they overplayed COVID!! I worked those precincts for years!! The A1A corridor is older DEMS pertrified to vote in person!! They are at “AS GOOD AS ITS GETS” They will not be out IPEV or ELECTION DAY!!
The Big Story will be the Hispanic Push for Trump from people in MIAMI DADE! We registered a NET of over 106K over the Dems from Aug 2020 of this year!!
We know the ground..most of you do not! The SO CALLED MARKETS base on BOGUS POLLS not the people on the GROUND!!
The Markets are clueless nor do they do door to door nor do they know precincts!! The DEMS shut down IN PERSON because COVID which predominates many of those DEM PRECINCTS!!
Baris says Trump plus 3...I would say from working the ground it is Trump plus 4 or more! The GOP Is jazzed....I was over in LEE for TRUMP and back in Miami!! The Markets make me laugh!! If you want to see FL check GALLUP!! COVID worked against DEMS they were not active because 90 percent like Gallup says fear Covid!!
The GOP has been all over the state before, during and now with COVID!!