To: dangus
“In Florida, 27% of Republicans and only 12% of Democrats plan on voting on Election Day.”
2016 ED was Rs 32%, Ds 28%.
Election Day will be big for Rs. It would still be nice to win IPEV to cut the Dem numbers down though.
14 posted on
10/19/2020 5:56:02 AM PDT by
SpeedyInTexas
(Localization, not Globalization)
To: SpeedyInTexas
It's a bit psychological I agree.
The one thing TargetSmart will be good for imo is to track the new and infrequent voters in all of these states like FL.
Currently, only 4.5% of votes cast come from first-time voters. It was 10.7% in 2016 at this time. Infrequent voters are 19.9% vs 25.0% in 2016.
More cannibalization evidence imo.
16 posted on
10/19/2020 6:14:12 AM PDT by
Ravi
To: SpeedyInTexas
This is huge.
I spoke with Baris yesterday. He isn’t concerned in the least about FL. Trump by 3 there, he says.
19 posted on
10/19/2020 6:21:33 AM PDT by
LS
("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
To: SpeedyInTexas
Someone mentioned on the thread yesterday that Rep counties don’t start early voting till the 24th? which would skew these until they come in.
25 posted on
10/19/2020 7:46:02 AM PDT by
hercuroc
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