FYI-——TargetSmart breaks down the “first time” voters in North Carolina. They model the “first time” voters as 44%/42% Democrat/Republican, which is quite a surprise. Probably a combination of Trump’s ground-game and the student drop-off. Shockingly, Republicans may win more first-time voters.
That’s more “R” than the general EV at large. Which means that by the time ED comes, we likely will see this pool tilting heavily R.
Very surprising indeed