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To: Ravi; LS; bort; byecomey; Coop

Nate Silver and Dave Wasserman still think Biden wins.

Election night may cause many heads to explode. May make 2016 election night seem Jolly by comparison.


43 posted on 10/18/2020 10:38:42 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Nate Silver said HELLARY would win also YET!!!!!!


44 posted on 10/18/2020 10:39:42 AM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Whatever works for them I guess


46 posted on 10/18/2020 10:41:30 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi; LS; bort; Coop; byecomey

This map looks so much like 2016 pre election.

https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1317836262225661960/photo/1

Nothing has changed. All the “toss up” states can be won by Trump. The Great Lake states are “leaning D”.

A better reflection of the state of the election, would be the current toss up states ==> lean R. MN/WI/MI/PA toss up states.


48 posted on 10/18/2020 10:42:25 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; Ravi; byecomey

These guys are so blind.

So Friday afternoon-—and I was NOT in particular thinking about this stuff-—a powerful feeling came in my spirit that said “We’ve won. They are broken.”

This was reinforced by Baris’s polling in AZ (win); the TargetSmart early data in MI combined with both the Trafalgar poll showing Trump up one, but more important the James poll showing him up 2 (no way James wins and Trump loses); the slowdown of FL. Unlike some of you, I think the last two days are your yardstick from here on out and Ds can add maybe 70,000 more to finish well under 600,000 in VBM.

I think now NV is very close, and that Trump will take MN. I’m less certain about NH, only because I’ve heard less about it. I think he sweeps PA, WI, MI, and MN, adds NH and NV. ED will have a shocking shortfall of Ds from students and blacks giving Trump the pop vote.

Note: Trump in . . . NV today.

I mentioned this to Eric Trump who said he had the same feeling that Ds were broken two days before that.


49 posted on 10/18/2020 10:49:53 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SpeedyInTexas

https://mobile.twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1318000644997853184

One of my VERY best threads on how horribly the DemoKKKrats strategized this.


90 posted on 10/18/2020 6:50:04 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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