Republicans are going to vote in person because they don’t trust the vote. Plus:
370K Pennsylvania mail-in ballot applications rejected: Report
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/pennsylvania-mail-in-ballot-applications-rejected
I understand the high rejection rate though the article indicated that 90% of them are doubles....errors so they shouldn’t affect these expected vs. actual numbers. The 3:1 split D vs R on already voted looks about right though, as expected in the poll and in the reported results.
But, if only 8.2% of the 2016 total voter count has voted that would leave 91.8% more votes to come to reach the 2016 level.
But, since the poll supposedly measures the entire likely voter electorate regardless of when they were going to vote and it indicated that 14.7% of them already had voted which would leave 85.3% more votes expected to come to match the 2016 level, what explanation could there be for the shortfall except that voting is below expectations.
Any thoughts?