I went through the internals. Trafalgar’s numbers mimic 2016 exit polling. I would take this poll seriously.
Yes, they are one of the better polls. Still new voter registration favors Republicans. You have that voter who is keeping his powder dry and will vote for Trump. Independents will break for Trump. Also the energy level is huge for Trump. His people will turn out. Which is the key in the western part of the state and rural areas. Need to turn those counties deep red. Trump will take the state.