Internal polls don’t pick them all up either. Remember in most cases they are not answering their phones so no one is going to get those. Trump did not know on election day that he was going to win.
And prior to the media demonizing Trump and his supporters there wasn’t this large discrepancy between who will talk and who won’t. Now that responders are down to 1% that requires that the other 99% who will not respond feel the same way as the 1% who will. But, that is no longer true, so their data is useless.
Some of the silly Biden +12 polls used turnout models projecting a 30% increase in voters, totally unrealistic. Internal polls are better designed. And they are definitely more honest since the object is to get the data that is most useful to the campaign.
I wonder if the type of people who are hiding out from the virus at home, a little lonely and fearful, would be more likely to answer polls.
That would seem to be single older people who are Democrats, I’d say.
But I guess the pollsters keep calling until they get more Republicans to answer—and maybe they are single, older and lonely and fearful too, and turning away from Trump because of their fear.
Trump has now shown there is less need to be fearful—will be great when all 25 White House infections resolve quickly (hopefully)—will be anectodal evidence that the virus is not be be so feared.