If only you had hit the “enter” key after pasting that link, we could have easily clicked on it and watched the video. Now we have to copy and paste it into our browser to watch it.
They are juicing the polls to cover the tidal wave of vote fraud that is coming.
The plan is to wind by vote fraud. The democrat infiltrated the entire system. Computers and all.
Andrew Gillium (D) will win by 7%
Bill Nelson (D) will win by 7%
Who is the governor of Florinda today?
And who won that US senate elections?
Yup.
GIGO
If you feed lies into your computer model as assumptions, you get lies coming out of your computer as conclusions.
I have a theory as to what is happening—I call it the “Bangladesh Effect”.
Let us suppose that one of us, who knows nothing about the electorate of Bangladesh, were asked to conduct polling of Bangladesh voters for their next presidential election.
How would we decide who to poll?
How would we decide how to weigh the results?
We would have no clue—and the effort would be a joke.
So, my argument is that the pollster organizations, and the mass media elites that hire them, know as little about the actual American electorate as you and I know about the Bangladesh electorate.
The pollsters live in a left-wing bubble, and have no clue what the average American believes or what motivates them to turn out to vote.
A good example of this was the issue of illegal immigration.
Pollsters would do “issue polling” and give respondents an opportunity to list the most important issues to them. Up until very recently illegal immigration was not one of the choices. Therefore it was ignored by the mass media as an important issue. Worse than that, the term “illegal alien” was actually banned by Associated Press for media outlets in 2013 in their style-book, so the poll question could never even be asked correctly.
So, what are the “hidden issues” the pollsters don’t know about today?
I would argue there are three new issues that they do not understand:
—Covid restrictions and their impact on the economy
—Cancel culture and big tech and big corporate bias and limits on free speech
—Rioting in the cities that makes law and order and support for the police critical
The President is on the winning side of these issues, the Democrats are on the losing side of these issues—and the pollsters will never see it coming.
MSM Polls are Propaganda. Meant to influence opinions NOT to reflect it. The sooner you learn this fact the better off you will be.
Pollsters no longer have the ability to conduct accurate polls.
Response rates have plummeted. They averaged 6% in 2016 because of increased cell phone usage and reporters wondered if pollsters could still conduct accurate polls at those low levels. As we know, they couldn’t.
Trafalgar (who displays response rates...most pollsters don’t) is now down to 1 - 2%. Pollsters are having a very difficult time getting “representative samples.”
Most people won’t answer their phones. Republicans are 5 times more likely to not participate in polls generally.
Recent study reported 11% of republicans, 10% of independents and 5% of democrats will not disclose who they are voting for.
Pretty safe bet most of them plan to vote for Trump since the media has demonized Trump supporters.
____________________
Very interesting twitter response by Rich Baris (People Pundit who is finishing a Pennsylvania poll today) to a Scott Adams post.
Peoples_Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
We now have two battleground states with large percentages of voters — who skew heavily conservative, with only liberals being the exception — telling us they are uncomfortable revealing to pollsters their political beliefs, such as for whom they intend to vote.
Scott Adams
@ScottAdamsSays
Democrats have gaslighted themselves by scaring Trump supporters into silence and then believing the polls they made worthless by scaring Trump supporters into silence. Face with tear
The MSM polls are intended to discourage Trump voters to keep them at home on election day(s).
Don’t play into their hands.
Real questions best left unanswered is...what to do IF Biden wins....
Bookmark for later.
The pollsters claim they are anonymous but they know what phone number they called and can then backtrack and find out who you are.
When I realized that years ago, I quit answering any polls.
I’m also one of those who does not answer my phone if I do not recognize the number.
I figure that if it’s important, they will leave a message.
bookmark
Professor Lockdown’ Modeler Resigns in Disgrace
By JOHN FUND
May 6, 2020
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/professor-lockdown-modeler-resigns-in-disgrace/
Neil Ferguson is the British academic who created the infamous Imperial College model that warned Boris Johnson that, without an immediate lockdown, the coronavirus would cause 500,000 deaths and swamp the National Health Service.
Ferguson’s model also influenced the U.S. to make lockdown moves with its shocking prediction of over two million Americans dead.
Elon Musk calls Ferguson an “utter tool” who does “absurdly fake science.” Jay Schnitzer, an expert in vascular biology and a former scientific direct of the Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center in San Diego, tells me: “I’m normally reluctant to say this about a scientist, but he dances on the edge of being a publicity-seeking charlatan.”
Ferguson’s Imperial College model has been proven wildly inaccurate. To cite just one example, it saw Sweden paying a huge price for no lockdown, with 40,000 COVID deaths by May 1, and 100,000 by June. Sweden now has 2,854 deaths and peaked two weeks ago.
Indeed, Ferguson has been wrong so often that some of his fellow modelers call him “The Master of Disaster.”
Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease.
In 2002, Ferguson predicted that, by 2080, up to 150,000 people could die from exposure to BSE (mad cow disease) in beef. In the U.K., there were only 177 deaths from BSE.
In 2005, Ferguson predicted that up to 150 million people could be killed from bird flu. In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009.
In 2009, a government estimate, based on Ferguson’s advice, said a “reasonable worst-case scenario” was that the swine flu would lead to 65,000 British deaths. In the end, swine flu killed 457 people in the U.K.
Pollsters seek affirmative responses. That’s how they get paid, it is a business after all.
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They make little money from democrat or republican customers when they call someone that is undecided. Democrat and Republican buyers of poll results use those results to either reassure their faithful that their donations are well spent, or frighten them into donating.
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Independents don’t often donate. Election politics lives on money, it’s a business. Most polling callers simply hang up when confronted by independents.
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The upshot is that the very voters, independents, that determine most elections........are largely ignored.
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Polls are largely useless for determining the will of the people.
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Ask yourself, every time some poll reports high certainty, 90%+ of respondents saying this or that.......Where are the independents that are widely undecided to the tune of 20% or more?