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Poll: The Shy Trump Vote Is Bigger This Year...And Who Falls Into This Category Should Terrify Democrats
Townhall ^ | 10 October 2020 | Matt Vespa

Posted on 10/10/2020 5:56:53 AM PDT by Magnatron

I’ll say it again, folks. The polling is screwed. It’s skewed. It’s a mess. Either we’re right to be highly skeptical and Trump wins an Electoral College landslide, or the pollsters are right and we’re heading for Armageddon come Election Day. Still, the oversampling of Democrats, college-educated voters, and suburban Republicans hostile to Trump should bring a ton of scrutiny. The reluctance for some of these clown firms to switch to likely voter samples is also suspect. We’re not going to have a 2008 or 2012 electorate. For starters, a new Hill-Harris poll noted that young Americans are not excited about this election at all. They’re not planning on voting. Gallup reportedly said that youth interest in voting this cycle hit its lowest levels since 2000. That’s in keeping with the results from Democracy Institute’s Patrick Basham, whose polling data, which has been mentioned in The Washington Times and Forbes, suggests there will be 1 million fewer young people voting this cycle.

Basham spoke with Joseph Cotto about his new data. PollWatch had a good thread summarizing the interview. Democracy Institute's poll had a sample size of 1,500 likely voters, where Trump lead Joe Biden by one point. He also noted that the “shy Trump” vote is very much alive and will be bigger this time. Suburban white women and urban black women are the two groups that are most likely to fall into the shy category for the 2020 cycle. That latter part should shake Democrats to their core. And as for Florida, a state that Biden must carry, it could already be out of his reach.

(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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Some good news further in the article from PollWatch.

This is what happens when one side browbeats the other into silence. They don’t know what’s going to hit them...

1 posted on 10/10/2020 5:56:53 AM PDT by Magnatron
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To: Magnatron

Somebody’s lying big time.


2 posted on 10/10/2020 5:58:05 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: Magnatron

I don’t believe the polls are in error, they are not designed to find out who is more favorable in the minds of voters....

They are designed to attempt psychological warfare on Trump supporters, to discourage them that the race is over don’t even bother to vote because it’s not going to matter....

If/when Trump wins everyone on the left will go insane and declare the election invalid as a cause to go into overdrive with rioting...


3 posted on 10/10/2020 6:07:14 AM PDT by srmanuel (It)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Perhaps the liars are the same folks who lied in 2016?:

https://www.usnews.com/opinion/thomas-jefferson-street/articles/2016-10-28/7-reasons-why-hillary-clintons-win-over-donald-trump-is-a-done-deal


4 posted on 10/10/2020 6:11:32 AM PDT by cgbg (Masters don't want slaves talking about masters and slaves.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Every time I get a text or call about a poll I lie through my teeth to them.


5 posted on 10/10/2020 6:11:33 AM PDT by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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To: Magnatron
Polls have become a tool of oppression.

Their primary purpose is to determine the methods to use to manipulate the population into selecting the candidate of the elites at the election booth.

It has become the duty of the electorate to falsify, ignore, and nullify polls.

6 posted on 10/10/2020 6:11:37 AM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: Magnatron

“Suburban white women and urban black women are the two groups that are most likely to fall into the shy category for the 2020 cycle. That latter part should shake Democrats to their core.”

This is no surprise at all as we have all known that suburban white women and urban black women have been trending Trump in a Trump Tidal Wave.


7 posted on 10/10/2020 6:18:21 AM PDT by Meatspace
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To: Meatspace

Come November third, President Trump is going to beat the hell out of Grandpa Joe.


8 posted on 10/10/2020 6:24:59 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (This Space For Rant)
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To: srmanuel

“They are designed to attempt psychological warfare on Trump supporters, to discourage them that the race is over don’t even bother to vote because it’s not going to matter....”

That makes them in error!


9 posted on 10/10/2020 6:27:44 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: Jeff Chandler

I don’t doubt that.
The problem is how many ballots can the Rats “harvest” in the weeks that follow?


10 posted on 10/10/2020 6:28:36 AM PDT by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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To: Magnatron

The polling is FAKE.

If you believe that American mainstream corporate media is subject to strong bias, and control by political insiders and deep-state institutions with an agenda, then the logical conclusion is - its impossible for them to tell the truth.

The truth would cause them an existential crisis - so they have no choice but to lie.


11 posted on 10/10/2020 6:29:25 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: Magnatron

This is good news but I am still worried about the election. Even my wife, who is the most apolitical person I know, has started planning on how we will feed ourselves during the Biden apocalypse. I am really concerned that they will make good on their promise to root out the heretics and apostates who refuse to drink the koolaid. It won’t be a country for those who cherish their freedom.


12 posted on 10/10/2020 6:31:39 AM PDT by Spok (All free men are equal only in their freedom; everything else is up to them.)
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To: Magnatron
Suburban white women and urban black women are the two groups that are most likely to fall into the shy category for the 2020 cycle.

I cannot imagine anyone woman in my neighborhood showing up at a ladies tea party and admitting that she voted for Trump. She would be sued for wholesale wreckage of the de rigour Lenox or Royal Dalton chinaware that would result and probably treble damages for infliction of emotional distress.

13 posted on 10/10/2020 6:33:14 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Meatspace

The marital status of suburban women carries a lot weight.


14 posted on 10/10/2020 6:33:43 AM PDT by monocle
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To: monocle

“The marital status of suburban women carries a lot weight.”

No matter where they live, women, once they get married carry a lot of weight.


15 posted on 10/10/2020 6:40:47 AM PDT by Meatspace
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To: Magnatron

I’m a professor and I can confirm. College students are not going to vote. The small number of trump supporters almost certainly will. They are so angry about the campus environment.


16 posted on 10/10/2020 6:41:54 AM PDT by lonestar67 (America is exceptional)
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To: lonestar67
I’m a professor and I can confirm.

A college professor on Free Republic?

Wow, that’s like seeing Bigfoot.

17 posted on 10/10/2020 6:48:10 AM PDT by Magnatron
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To: DarthVader

You and I know they are in error, I was trying to point out that what they say they are doing is not true but what they are actually doing which is to engage in psychological warfare to advance a political narrative...

Sort of like ANTIFA, which they tell people they are anti-fascist which to the uninformed sounds great, but in reality they are actually real fascists...


18 posted on 10/10/2020 6:52:07 AM PDT by srmanuel (It)
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To: srmanuel

Remember 2004 when Bush beat Kerry despite the exit polling indicating a huge win by Kerry? Back then exit polling data was released all during election day from when the polls opened until just before they closed.

Of course the idea was to release phony data in the exit polling in the EST Zone with the idea it would influence those who have not yet voted in that time zone and the western time zones.

Kerry was being congratulated by his fellow Democrats as a winner long before the actual votes were counted. Of course the ploy failed and the release of exit polling data was stopped until all polls were closed.


19 posted on 10/10/2020 6:55:27 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: srmanuel
Polls showing Biden ahead are not in error. The polls are not designed to find out who is more favored by voters....they are:
<><> calculated psychological warfare on Trump supporters,
<><> designed to discourage Trump voters from voting
<><> to suggest the race is over
<><> signalling Trummpsters to forget voting b/c it’s not going to matter....

One more significant reason for the skewed polls is b/c Democraps need big numbers
........ to justify the massive voter fraud being used to manipulate a Biden win.

20 posted on 10/10/2020 6:55:51 AM PDT by Liz ( Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know whild the new ich bathroom to use.)
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