I would be a lot more confident if the Rasmussen Poll had not had Biden at 12 over Trump. Todays approval was down to 44. I’m hoping they just got some weird blip in their numbers and everything will be better next week. The other polls are full of crap. Who would trust a Fox poll or a CNN poll?
I would not trust any poll unless I did a deep dive in the data and the methodology—_deep_ dive.
At this point I treat them all as evil leftist propaganda—and ignore all of them. It is not worth my time to rebut all the them—spent too much effort doing that in 2016.
Rasmussen's Presidential approval poll seems to go up and down. If President Trump is below 50%, wait a week and he'll be back over 50%; the opposite is also true. I don't know why that happens, but it happens on a regular basis.
Here’s the weird blip you were looking for.
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People’s Pundit pollster said that you don’t go from +1 to -12 like Rasmussen did so quickly from changing opinion. Public opinion doesn’t work like that. He thinks because of the covid virus its possible Rasmussen hit “response bias” in the Rasmussen poll. “Response bias is when voters and their party do not want to participate in polls and surveys because there is bad news for their guy. He wasn’t getting accurate people to tell you the truth.”
Pollsters are having a very hard time polling this year. Response rates are down to 1% at Trafalgar. And republicans are 5 times more likely to say no to polls.
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IBD/TIPPS
Trafalgar
Democracy Initiative are all high quality polls that got 2016 and 2018 right.