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I have seen many people stating that there’s no way Pres. Trump can win VA, that’s it’s “deep blue” or other such comments. I find such opinions misinformed at best. In 2016 Trump lost VA by 4.9 points, with Gov/Sen Tim Kaine on the Dem ticket. Johnson earned 3.0% of the vote, while McMullin took another 1.4%. Stein only took 0.7%, presumably from Clinton. For simplicity’s sake, presume all GOP votes go to Trump and all lib votes go to Biden. Suddenly that 4.9-point deficit becomes only 1.2 points. 4.9 minus Johnson/McMullin (3.0+1.4) = 0.5, add on Stein’s 0.7 = 1.2. A much more manageable deficit, even if northern VA is blue

The Virginia Dems organized for 2018 and flipped three House seats including Dave Brat. We don't really have a Republican party just some R candidates. The VIrginia Dems are just as organized this time. Many Dem districts had absentee ballot applications mailed to them by dark money groups. The dems got rid of voter ID for in-person voting.

On the flip side in my rural area there are more Trump displays than ever. About the same amount of Biden signs, mainly in the small towns. There's plenty of Trump enthusiasm out here.