Four years ago, the early October releases of these polls showed Trump’s goose was cooked.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/2016_Reuters_Tracking_-_Core_Political_10.11_.16_.pdf
At the same time, Rasmussen and Gravis showed the race to be close.
The Ipsos/Reuters poll has been consistently to the left of other polls. It’s an internet-based panel (or, evolving set of respondents). While they weight for the standard set of demographics, it’s likely their panel suffers intra-cell bias.
The WSJ/NBC poll is a high quality, live caller poll. These polls are susceptible to Shy Trumpers. It is a D+9 poll, and the country is not D+9. Maybe D+2.
The gatekeepers for the WSJ/NBC poll are Hart, which is a Democrat polling organization; and, POS, which is a Never-Trump polling organization. There should be no expectation that one is a check on the other.
We have two other recent high quality, live caller polls. Monmouth, which has a D+6 sample, gives Biden a 5 point edee; and, IBD/TIPP, which has a D+1 sample, and gives Biden a 3 point edge.
Having said all this, while the outcome is still uncertain, it does look as though Biden is ahead. There’s good and bad news in the mass of polling, but more for Biden than for Trump. Plus, it’s not just the White House that’s in play. It’s the Senate and the House. The future of the country is on the ballot this election.
I would say, Biden plus 4.6 nationally. Electoral college is tied.