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To: Golden Eagle

The poll, conducted beginning at 7:00 p.m. Friday by John Zogby Strategies and EMI Research Solutions, shows Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden with 49 percent support and Trump with 47 percent support, with four percent undecided.

https://www.breitbart.com/2020-election/2020/10/03/poll-trump-biden-virtually-tied-after-presidents-coronavirus-diagnosis-debate/

That’s two polls now showing Trump tied or doing better than the others suggest.


19 posted on 10/03/2020 5:08:51 PM PDT by RandFan (3C)
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To: RandFan
Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden with 49 percent support and Trump with 47 percent support, with four percent undecided.

I've been playing with numbers in a spreadsheet. Making some conservative assumptions about Biden supporters being more likely to respond to polls than Trump supporters and a small percentage of Trump backers claiming to be undecided or Biden supporters, it would put Trump a couple of percent ahead using Zogby's results. Even if they're tied in the popular vote, it would likely mean an electoral victory for Trump.

25 posted on 10/03/2020 6:32:19 PM PDT by lasereye
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