Joe is playing prevent defense. He feels like he can win if the numbers don’t change.
Honestly, the numbers haven’t changed that much over the last year. People seem to have already made up their mind about this election (on both sides) a year ago more or less. The Democrats had only to nominate someone who wasn’t repulsive, and after looking around and not being able to find anyone, they pulled Joe out of retirement.
This will be a turnout election much like 2016, but Joe is consistently running a couple of points ahead of where Hillary was, and has been the whole year.
I think Trump “can” win, but it’s going to be tuff. And if he does lose, it will be because white seniors abandoned him.
It won’t matter who wins as no one will trust the results. The left won’t trust the results due to the fact they will think the election was stolen even though the popular vote is for Biden. Those on the right won’t trust the results because they think the mail-in-ballots were forged and stolen, not to mention ballot harvesting and the popular vote movement. Who ever wins it doesn’t matter because neither side will be willing to accept the outcome. If by December 15 there is a clear winner and the cities aren’t in a burning heap of rubble, count ourselves lucky, although for some demoncrap cities this would be an improvement.