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To: texas booster; Texas Fossil
The support given each faction seems to have been pretty fluid. The position inherited from Zero's regime was for the GNA, but the Trump admin has been trying to keep diplomatic channels open to reconcile both sides, and as fortunes have changed, supported LNA. The GNA is made up of a Frankenstein-monster collection of unfriendly tribes and such, and has managed to lose at least 80% of Libya to the LNA.
Turkey seems to have been using its involvement in Libya as live-fire practice and for tech-testing. The EU had been on the side of the GNA, but the Turks and EU are probably not going to remain on the same side of anything for long from here on out. The whole mess is keeping a lot of people busy, as well as leading to an erosion of popularity for both the GNA and Erdogan as well as other supporters of the GNA.
I'd be surprised if POTUS is in any big rush to pull off a military intervention, preferring to let the Egyptians and Sudanese, and maybe Chad, do it. When Haftar finally takes over the whole works (it's coming, probably no more than a year out), Sudan and Libya will wind up joining Chad in normalization with Israel, and Ergodan will be standing behind some kind of podium on top of some pile of rubble somewhere, pissing and moaning about it, blaming conspiracies, and other usual behavior.
Next to flip (after Chad -- which has already started -- Sudan, and Libya) will probably be Morocco, then perhaps Tunisia, although that may be harder to crack. Turkey's recent deal with Niger isn't likely to be fruitful for Niger, IMHO.

38 posted on 09/19/2020 9:54:14 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Thanks for explanation.

Slimy Erdoo is the defender of ISIS and the Great Evil in the world. Not compatible with NATO.


40 posted on 09/19/2020 10:25:02 PM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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