Red now (70% or greater for Gulf low)
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
T
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico gradually continue to
become better organized. Upper-level winds are forecast to
gradually become more conducive for further development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the
weekend while the low meanders over the southern Gulf of Mexico for
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Location...About 30 MI NNE of Pensacola FL
Max Sustained Winds...70 MPH
Moving...NNE at 5 MPH
Minimum Pressure...982 MB
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles.