Posted on 09/09/2020 12:16:55 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The 10-day Sturgis Motorcycle Rally in South Dakota in August, which drew more than 400,000 people, has now been linked to more than 250,000 coronavirus cases, according to a study by the IZA Institute of Labor Economics.
Using anonymized cellphone data from the rally, researchers from the University of Colorado Denver, Bentley University, University of California San Diego and San Diego State University found the bikers, who were filmed and photographed in crowded bars, restaurants and outdoor venues mostly without face masks, allowed for many of the “worst-case scenarios” for “superspreading.”
The event “was prolonged, included individuals packed closely together, involved a large out-of-town population, and had low compliance with recommended infection countermeasures such as the use of masks,” the researchers wrote.
The event will cost an estimated $12.2 billion in health-care costs, they wrote.
The cellphone data showed foot traffic at restaurants, bars, hotels and shops in census block groups where the events took place rose by up to 90% during the event. At the same time, stay-at-home behavior declined among residents of Meade County with an up to 10.9% decline in median hours spent at home. Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found cases spread both locally and in the home counties of those who attended and then traveled home.
“In counties with the largest relative inflow to the event, the per 1,000 case rate increased by 10.7 percent after 24 days following the onset of Sturgis Pre-Rally Events,” the researchers wrote.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
“Hey, look at me! I can make up numbers too!”
IZA is a communist think-tank. i.e.:
Eccentrica Gallumbits probably has higher standards.
Has to be someone else.
“Cases estimated using synthetic control”? What the heck does that mean...guesswork?
Might be the biggest lie of the year. Laughable
I think they are counting people that rally goers infected later, and people they infected.
I myself am a mask wearer, have limited my activities, but I am not buying this modeling or the numbers.
They do have other large scale activities during these months to analyze, like marches, demonstrations, and riots.
Did they bother with those?
What was the hospitalization rate. How many died? ( not answered in the article.)
If the above two answers are low or none, then the bikers did us all a favor. Those infected increased herd immunity and that benefits everyone.
Ask yourself: Why would a German-based think tank do a COVID study on an American biker rally? This has Soros written all over it.
allowed for many of the “worst-case scenarios” for “superspreading.”
IOW they might, maybe, could, should, possibly spread the chinkflu according to their study.
Now give us another grant.
Can’t we yank the FCC liscenses of ABC, NBC, and CBS?
Didn’t they provide the news as condition of getting the liscenses?
I am so confused.
How did, in less than a month, 269k cases connect to 1 event, massive though it might be?
Debunked by Governor of SD.
I don’t believe a single word of this or any other MSN tripe.
Fake news going to fake....again....
250,000/365,979 is no way realistic:
“From August 7 through 14, 2020, a total of 365,979 people attended the event—just 7.5 percent fewer people than the 2019 tally for the same time period, the DOT told Rapid City Journal...
The Highway Patrol report of non-injury crashes was up slightly in 2020, with 50 crashes reported. In 2019, a total of 41 occurred. Crashes involving injuries were also up slightly, with 56 reported for 2020 over 52 in 2019. Fatal crashes doubled for 2020, with 4 crashes and 5 fatalities; in 2019, there were 2 crashes and 2 fatalities in total.
...Fewer attendees for 2020 were in the 60 to 70 age range, which makes sense given which age group has so far been most statistically vulnerable to COVID-19.\
https://www.rideapart.com/articles/439496/sturgis-2020-attendance-crime-numbers/
doesn’t seem to be a sustained spike in SD:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/south-dakota/
The news is just a form of entertainment. Think it isn’t then why do they worry about ratings?
Covid is a woke virus. It will not infect "mostly peaceful" protesters.
🙄
I read the study PDF. That’s a modeled and hypothetical result. It’s subject to bias and GIGO effects. 260 is the real number.
No problem, they have Insurance, perhaps we should throw in a Louie Vuitton bag as well.
it will also not infect some 200,000 State Fair attendees:
USAToday, as of Sep 3, says 300 cases and one death were rally-connected. No word on how many connected to the Fair. Must be zero.
An estimate made by economists. The actual number traced by the health dept is 260
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