Sweden and New Jersey have similar populations. NJ where I live with a tight lockdown had a peak death rate per million in lare April of 300 averaged over 7 days. It then dropped to near zero now. Sweden had a peak 7 day average of 100 in late April and has declined to zero recently, with limited precautions and little disruption to its economy.
The curves are similar in shape but the death total is 3X in NJ. Nursing home mismanagement was a factor but it also could be that lockdowns themselves caused some of it. It certainly didn’t help and the death toll on small business has been horrible.
Farr’s Law holds too. The virus will run its course regardless of what we do.
Sweden:
5,833 deaths
10,111,434 population
0.057 % deaths
USA:
189,283 deaths
331,337,550 population
0.057 % deaths
Bring Out Your Dead
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
The false positive rate was 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's or one old fart’s life, it's worth it.
I doubt that Sweden had a high number of tourists coming back from China where people had gone to celebrate the New Year, or from Italy where high numbers of Chinese fashion workers returned to the Milan area where infection spread to the other tourist areas of Italy. When our tourists were coming home they were questioned about China travel, Italy travel was ignored. Also it is suspected that there are at least 2 major varients of the Covid-19 bug and the one that hit the east coast was the worse one, unlike the cases on the west coast.