That was by far the most one-sided voting bloc in 2016. Worse than with black males. Worse than with Hispanics and Asians. Even worse (and it wasn't close) than with the LGBT crowd. I would be stunned if Trump got more than 5-6% approval from black females.
Exactly. Until we see it, this black support is just urban legend beyond a few percentage points. N heck, those votes may have come from dyslexia.
You can pretty much write them off, but black males is where Trump can do well.
Back in the 80s, black males loved Trump, they wanted to be Trump. Plenty of pictures of black people with Trump all smiles.
But to be fair, those traits of being least productive/most destructive can be attributed to most Democrats anyway.
“4% of black females voted for Trump in 2016. ... I would be stunned if Trump got more than 5-6% approval from black females.”
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True, Trump only got 4% from black females according to the exit poll, but two things to keep in mind are that (i) the “shy Tory” phenomenon that makes some people apprehensive of revealing to pollsters that they support non-socially-acceptable candidates is stronger in exit polls than in pre-election polls, and probably is strongest among black women, so Trump may have gotten more than 4% if the black female vote, and (ii) conservative Republican Florida Governor Ron DeSantis got around 15% of the black female vote (IIRC) according to the 2018 exit poll, which was decisive in his very narrow victory over black liberal Democrat Andrew Gillum, on the strength of his outreach campaign that emphasized his support for school choice. If you’ve watched the first two days of the Republican National Convention, you must have noticed that many speakers have emphasized President Trump’s pledge to support and expand school choice. So I’ll take the “over” if the over/under on Trump’s share of the black female vote is 5%.
That being said, I’ve never trusted Zogby Interactive “polls” and I’m not going to start now. No way that Trump is at 35%+ support among black voters, if by “support” they mean willingness to consider voting for him. Trump can win this election, but he needs to run like he’s down 5% (which indeed may be the case) and not depend on the possibility of getting 35% of the black vote. If that number ends up being close to correct, then Trump will win going away (and the GOP will hold the Senate and probably get back the House), and we can have a big laugh about how we were worried back in August about what would happen in November. But I’m not taking anything for granted.