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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Well, I see you’ve changed the terminology so you can count your imaginary friends again. The Infection Fatality Rate is not 0.64-0.66%. If you want to claim that, please provide the values you used in your calculation, with sources.


134 posted on 09/04/2020 10:44:54 AM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: calenel

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

Scenario 5: “Current Best Estimate”

And every study done on COVID-19’s IFR in the past ~3 months puts it between 0.64% and 0.66%. Studies like these:
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1327
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30243-7/fulltext
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1047279720302015

Haven’t seen anyone disagreeing with the narrowed IFR at all. Earlier estimates put a lower bound at 0.26% (could be no lower, per CDC) with a likely range between 0.5% and 1% (Johns Hopkins). Around late May, all the studies began to converge on the 0.64% - 0.66% range.


135 posted on 09/04/2020 1:30:20 PM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: calenel

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

Scenario 5: “Current Best Estimate”

And every study done on COVID-19’s IFR in the past ~3 months puts it between 0.64% and 0.66%. Studies like these:
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1327
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30243-7/fulltext
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1047279720302015

Haven’t seen anyone disagreeing with the narrowed IFR at all. Earlier estimates put a lower bound at 0.26% (could be no lower, per CDC) with a likely range between 0.5% and 1% (Johns Hopkins). Around late May, all the studies began to converge on the 0.64% - 0.66% range.


136 posted on 09/04/2020 1:30:20 PM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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