No. Bad way to look at this. NONE are within the “margin of error” because none of these polls are legitimate. Mabye-—maybe Trafalgar is close.
They are STILL using 2016 models as Nate Cohn himself confessed yesterday, which means they are still using 2012 models.
Many are STILL asking for “the youngest voter in the home.”
NONE are capturing the “shy voter,” whom now three separate pollsters have admitted they are having tremendous difficulty identifying.
Bottom line: Trump is ahead in all these states, some more than others. I think MI and WI are close, but bigger than Trump’s 2016 margin. Trump himself has flatly stated his polls have them up in PA, GA, OH, FL, and MN. That’s the election right there.
Thanks for sharing your superb analysis.
We need FOUR MORE YEARS of PDJT to MAGA AGAIN!!!