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To: central_va
"Listen it is a fact that COVID is harmless 99.99999% of the time when the person infected is under 60 Y.O."

That's incorrect. The number is actually about 99.73%. Let's explore why.

The US population stands at about 330 million people. Of those, 2.2 million had been identified as having been infected with SARS-CoV-2 as of June 17th (the data I have on deaths and hospitalizations broken down by age group is all from June). The CDC director stated that number could be as much as 10 times higher, so let's assume 22 million in total had been infected across the US at that time, or about 7.3% of the US population. If we look only at deaths (when COVID-19 was clearly not harmless), we see that 26 children ages 0-14 died due to COVID-19 between Feb 1 and June 17 (https://www.acsh.org/news/2020/06/23/coronavirus-covid-deaths-us-age-race-14863). 125 deaths between the ages of 15 and 24. 699 deaths between the ages of 25 and 34. 1,780 deaths between the ages of 35 and 44. And 4,976 deaths between the ages of 45 and 54. The next group overruns into the over 60 group, so we'll ignore them for this. That's 7,606 deaths for Americans age 0 - 54. Their total population is 232 million. If 7.3% have contracted the virus, that's 16,936,000 who had been infected as of that date. That's 0.045% who died from COVID-19 and 99.955% who contracted the virus and at least survived it. If it were actually "harmless" to "99.99999%", the number of deaths would be 2 (1.69). But it's actually 7,606, which is higher than 2. A lot higher. About 4,500 times higher than the expected number given your percentage.

But even that isn't covering everyone harmed. Most reasonable people would say that if you're hospitalized for an illness, it's not "harmless". So let's look at hospitalizations as well. For kids 0-17, we had 2,180 hospitalizations due to COVID-19 as of June 13th (https://www.statista.com/statistics/1122354/covid-19-us-hospital-rate-by-age/). 17,320 for people ages 18-39. 18,100 for people ages 40-49. The next group is 50-64, so since that overruns your <60, we'll ignore the whole group even though we know (from the deaths totals) that we're missing a pretty large number there. So that's 37,600 persons ages 0-49 hospitalized due to COVID-19. Population of persons age 0-49 is 212 million. 7.3% infected gives us 15,476,000 persons. That puts us at 0.24% of infected persons from ages 0-49 who wound up hospitalized. Given your "99.99999%" number, that should again be 2 (1.55 now since we're excluding the 50-54 age group). The reality is it's 24,258 times higher than that.

Those are facts. They may not fit your narrative, but they are the reality of the situation. You may not like them, but they exist in the real world nonetheless.

"THIS IS FACT YOU FEAR MONGERING A$$H0LE. You must be a paid troll." "Since May 7th 2020. Yeah, newby you must be a troll."

You've certainly been here longer than I have, but if you've used your time here spreading misinformation and then calling people names and cursing at them when they correct you, then what value are you adding? If all you have to offer is incorrect information, name calling, and foul language, that's just high quantity of low quality posting.

I'm providing factual information backed by authoritative sources, remaining calm and respectful, and engaging in substantive discussions. Can you say the same?

77 posted on 07/29/2020 10:24:51 AM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 75 | View Replies ]


To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Who is paying to scare Freepers?


78 posted on 07/29/2020 11:15:35 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies ]

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