But it's still a little complicated. The 2+ month old survey data was scientifically valid, 2 months ago, when applied to tracked cases 2 months ago. The "guess" is that it can be matched to current tracking of cases, and there are several reasons why that is pure speculation rather than science.
A scientifically valid conclusion based on current case tracking must be adjusted by a current seroprevalence survey. It is very likely the current survey would yield significantly different adjustment factors, because the current population has a much larger proportion of people already infected than 2 or 3 months ago.
My intuition tells me that the ultimate IFR ratios will be significantly lower than those shown in my example calculations. Of course NO ONE should depend on MY intuition, that's why we must update the data with current scientific surveys.
The really bad news is the lack of action on the part of the CDC. It appears to me that our deep state politicians are NOT interested is solving this problem.
I hope you're right.
Of course NO ONE should depend on MY hopes!
The really bad news is the lack of action on the part of the CDC. It appears to me that our deep state politicians are NOT interested is solving this problem.
It's not a problem.
It's an opportunity.
It's an opportunity to keep their sinecures. An opportunity to keep their necks out of the traitors' nooses, if only they can use it to keep Orange Man Bad from getting a mandate of the people.
For some it really is a matter of life and death!