As for the economy, it's going to have spectacular growth between now and November . And the record new job creation figures will continue right up to the elections in November.
Everything is looking great for a very nice Trump win come November.
I don’t disagree. CPI is at least a standard benchmark to work off of and it’s built from the widest collection base of any inflation calculator.
Businesses and investors need a reference point and that’s all that the CPI offers. If you think it’s underestimating inflation then buy some hedges.
30 yr Treasuries are currently yielding 1.45%. Bond vigilantes aren’t in the habit of buying bonds with negative yields; meaning that inflation is lower than that.
Inflation plus Real Yield = Nominal yield of 1.45%
In 1981 inflation was still raging. Nominal yield on 30 yr Treasuries was 12%