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To: tubebender

RCP average lead was less than Biden’s at this point (around 6-7 vs 10 for Biden).


164 posted on 06/28/2020 8:29:58 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep; All

I wonder how many realize the reason for these outlier polls giving Biden a 12-14 point lead?

The purpose is to pull up the RCP average of polls. If 6 recent polls have the race @ Biden + 2-3 the average lead will be shown as the sum of Bidens lead in each poll divided by the number of the polls they were taken from. So 6 polls showing Biden up 1 (3 polls) and Biden up by 2 (3 polls) mean Biden is up a total of 9 points which gives him an average of a lead of 1.5 points (9 divided by 6). Then comes a poll showing Biden + 14 which replaces the oldest poll in the average, say one with a 2 point Biden lead and you have a total of Biden + 21 divided by 6 polls for an average of a 3.5 point lead for Biden.

One poll has effectively doubled his lead in the Poll of Poll averages. It’s all a game and it happened this same way in 2016.

Psyops.


212 posted on 06/30/2020 9:39:50 AM PDT by billyboy15
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