Posted on 06/25/2020 12:01:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The Medical Center released the most aggressive COVID model to date, showing base ICU base capacity full by Saturday, and surge capacity exhausted by July 8 if current rates of hospitalization persist.
A TMC model also predicts ICU surge capacity — extra, temporary beds and equipment used in emergencies — could be exceeded as soon as July 6 if the steep rate of new COVID hospitalizations continues, the most aggressive modeling to date.
Eleven leaders of the system’s member hospitals and medical schools said in a joint statement that COVID-related admissions were increasing at an “alarming rate,” stretching the capacity of ICU units. Texas Children’s Hospital this week began admitting adult patients to handle the surge.
“If this trend continues, our hospital system capacity will become overwhelmed, leading us to make difficult choices of delaying much-needed non-COVID care to accommodate a greater number of COVID patients,” the group wrote.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
I’m beginning to think many of the protesters were pre-infected to infect as many as possible.
This is how NYC turned into a nightmare.
Iranians flew into NYC to do some fast shopping.
Back in 2001, this was one of my 100 ways to bypass TSA-DHS.
Three of them have already been used.
I didn’t write them down as I didn’t want to give anyone ideas but its not tough to figure this out.
The Medical Center released the most aggressive COVID model to date, showing base ICU base capacity full by Saturday, and surge capacity exhausted by July 8 if current rates of hospitalization persist.
Another BS broken model
...If current rates persist, Gisele Bundchen and I will go on a romantic date and Tom Brady will never know......
We are not using ventilators as much anymore, because they learned that for some reason, many patients were doing OK with low O2 readings, without ventilators, and ventilating was tearing up lungs and possibly spreading the virus more.
In some cases, the ICU beds are not being used by COVID patients at all, in one hospital they were over 90% utilized, but only 27% were COVID cases.
The Governor has taken the precaution of suspending elective hospitalizations in the 5 protest-torn cities being hit hard now by COVID.
Doesn’t COVID die in the heat? It’ll be in the mid to upper 80’s with nearly 80% humidity this week. Perfect “flu” weather. What a crock of s**t!
but so goes the idea that the heat will kill the virus....always thought that was nonsense....
Good thing they spent all those Federal dollars setting up a temporary hospital in the Reliant parking lot only to decide it was not needed. /sarc
Oh, noes!! We better get Cuomo’s UNUSED Naval ship down to Galveston Bay!
This is so absurd and so obvious....the Dems are trying to get their Vote by Mail, come h3ll, or highwater.
Take your model and @##$% it up your @@@
Anyone trusting predictive models after all the crap involved in this Kung Flu is a fool.
I am hard pressed to believe Houston is out of manageable space. ICU beds? Maybe but out of space for patients if needed? Nope.
“the most aggressive modeling to date...” == “Let’s pull even more scary looking fear-porn numbers out of our backsides”
Right until we get the “second wave” of Planet of the Apes, then the looters and thugs will be magically “immune” while they burn stuff down again.
Except the DRG for CoVID U07.1 is $12,000 for the admission, and for MCC (vent support) is $36,000 for admission which is much higher than most respiratory failure DRGs. There is a lot of money in CoVID. A colleague of mine had seven CoVID admissions recently, all of which were young, floor patients that required no supplemental oxygen and were discharged within a day or so — DRG still applies, hospital came out well on those cases.
lurk wrote:
“Have you been to Houston?
Have you seen the size of the medical part of the city?
This is fake news melodrama.”
How big is the medical center in Houston?
What is TMC?
Air conditioning....
gas_dr wrote:
“Except the DRG for CoVID U07.1 is $12,000 for the admission, and for MCC (vent support) is $36,000 for admission which is much higher than most respiratory failure DRGs. There is a lot of money in CoVID. A colleague of mine had seven CoVID admissions recently, all of which were young, floor patients that required no supplemental oxygen and were discharged within a day or so — DRG still applies, hospital came out well on those cases.”
Thanks for that info!
Big money making scheme, isn’t it?
TMC = Texas Medical Center
Is encompasses five miles.
And...
Houston is where the world comes for treatment. The Texas Medical Center is the largest life sciences destination in the world. With 106,000 employees, 61 institutions, and thousands of volunteers and patient visits, over 160,000 people visit Texas Medical Center each day.
https://www.visithoustontexas.com/about-houston/texas-medical-center/
And, home to MD Anderson.
There are a lot of hospitals around the state where they have ample room.
More fear mongering by the Left!
Yes and no — there are two other laws — uninsured patients are granted Medicare rates for CoVID dx, so there is a way to recoup charges for the uninsured if they have the plague.
Additionally, if you have a case that is vented for 14+ days, the hospital takes a loss on it with that DRG.
Medical payments to hospital are the ultimately government Charlie Foxtrot. The geometric length of stay is calculated, and a flat fee is paid based on the highest diagnosis of severity. As such, If you beat the GLOS, the hospital makes money, if you exceed the LOS the hospital loses money. Its why surgery is often the economic generator because they have high DRGs that you can usually get a patient out the door quickly.
This is the reason that hospitals are forever pushing discharge, and baked into the system, then, was what happened in NYC — get the CoVID patient out to SNF, and you make money, and the patient goes to a different cost center. On the back end, if the patient dies, under the GLOS, the hospital still wins. So all the SNF patients that were infected that ended up in the hospital were probably $36000 payments and my guess passed pretty quickly
All of this is further perverse because physicians are paid fee for service. So this yields that physicians are incentivized to keep patients in the hospital, hospitals are incentivized to get rid of patients, and nonclinical administrators bully the physicians to get the patients out, often keeping LOS report cards to determine credentials.
The system, set up by nonclinical administrators and people who are experts at mathematical modeling (yeah I know) have created a system wherein the last metric considered for reimbursement is did the patient actually get good care
It is a hell of a way to run a railroad
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