Indeed, it appears to be a definite ‘perhaps.’
I would say it’s well past time for them to wake up and smell the coffee. Playing nice with Russia and other in the past has really not served them well in their border struggles with China, who are getting wildly more aggressive with everyone i the region.
Ping
US-India-Japan should free Tibet
What US-China War?
I still think that, between India and China, it may very well turn into a demographic war, by tacit agreement both sides using older small arms and light artillery only, with the purpose of wiping out 30-100 million surplus young men.
Very similar in structure to the bloody WWI Battles of the Isonzo.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battles_of_the_Isonzo
Except at 100 times the size.
China has foolishly angered the entire world with the Covid disaster. Then, they have acted hyper aggressively with all their neighbors and the US. If they do get into a war with Vietnam or India, it’s possible that their neighbors may see it as an opportunity to do some threat reduction by moving troops into China.
China maintains some 200 ships that are ostensibly fishing boats, but who act as the eyes, ears and sometimes the mussel against other fishing boats. I could see all of those sunk by a few corvettes.
Hong Kong, The Uygurs, Tibet, India, Vietnam and Taiwan...not to mention hassling Japan...that’s a lot of pissed off people who will take any opportunity to do China dirty if they can. The first domino will probably be something unexpected...like that mountain where North Korea tested its nukes collapsing and raining radiation all over China and starting riots. I think the Chinese have bitten off more than they can chew.
I saw an episode of Firing Line with Daniel Moynihan as guest.
Buckley mentioned that India would take food given to India by America and stamp it as a gift of the USSR. Moynihan who had been Ambassador to India, confirmed that was true.
What about US neutrality in the India-China war?
As I’ve said before, the only reason Chinese aren’t the rudest people on Earth is because there are Indians.
Interesting info about their 1950s-1970s low growth rate, "lower even than Pakistan".
Blah, blah, blah. This is a empty threat to China, IMHO. Posturing. Just when India loses a little border skirmish with China, suddenly they “might not be neutral” in some theoretical war against the USA? Seriously? They would be idiots to NOT take advantage of China while we are kicking their asses. Gee, thanks India.
No, we should not help India, even in the current border dispute. If there is war between the US and China, India will do what is best for India. They are seeking military cooperation with the US, Japan, and Australia, and I don’t oppose that. But if they are serious about countering China, they should be building defense alliances with their neighbors, the ASEAN nations, as they offer land access to China’s southern provinces (and troops) without crossing the Himalayas. If they wait until China controls the ASEAN countries, it will be too late.
Why I Changed my Opinion on China
Hope you find this interesting