[hsmomx3]

I don’t think AZ is a strong R at all. I live here and the D’s are winning more and more.

[Political Junkie Too]

I set that indicator based on the probabilities of winning. That will change over time as the polls start coming in.

For the current "Strong R" setting, it is based on the 2016 result of Trump 49% - Clinton 45.5%. With an assumed 5% MOE, that translates into a 78.88% chance of the leader actually winning, which I put into the "Strong" category.

-PJ

[Lod881019]

It’s not that D...The problem is Mcsally isn’t much of a campaigner and a wooden personality it’s pretty much up to Trump to pull her over the
finish line