Ok, theres no feasible model?
I was called all kinds of names here in September and October 2018 for predicting D+40 in the House, which was exactly correct.
As of today, the Senate looks like D+3, but +5 is not out of the question without Murkowski or Romney switching. If its +3, the chances of a Murkowski switch are at least 60-40, Romney less so.
As far as Trump getting re-elected? Michigan and Pennsylvania are lost, Florida is seriously at risk, if they can actually get Biden to Election Day theres a good chance that Kamala Harris will be the next President.
Michigan and Pennsylvania are lost, Florida is seriously at risk...
Thats nonsense.
If you want to point to Fake News Polls, do so at your own peril.
I will look at legitimate polls like one that proves that Trump is winning Pennsylvania.
Florida is solid Trump.
Ping.