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To: Pearls Before Swine

What they are saying is that in populations with low infection rates a large percentage of positive tests will be false positives.
Of course that is true. If a population has a true infection rate of 0%, then the false positives will constitute 100% of the reported positives.
If a population has a 1% true infection rate and the test has a 1% false positive, then the testing will report about 2% positives and the false positives will constitute about 1/2 of the reported positives.


25 posted on 05/28/2020 5:41:08 AM PDT by conejo99
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To: conejo99

yep


28 posted on 05/28/2020 6:00:57 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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