Not saying it was perfect or even all that great, just pointing out that it wasn’t really that crazy either. People judge the numbers we’re at now against the 2.2 million figure and laugh at it. That ignores the fact that we’re still in the middle of this thing, the fact that the model was based on the little bit of data available at the time, and the fact that the model was for no changes in anyone’s behavior in response to the new virus.
None of that means that a lockdown was the right move (Sweden has proven otherwise). Just that the model isn’t really laughable, even with the benefit of hindsight.
“That ignores the fact that we’re still in the middle of this thing,......”
Disagree and strongly. I believe we are in the end game and that within 2 weeks this sham will be all but over. My guess (which is all anybody has been doing) is that the numbers of asymptomatic cases is monstrously high and going forward we will be seeing a rapidly shrinking number of cases while the number cured will rise at a rapid pace.
This China Virus is known to be very infectious but also not particularly dangerous except to a very specific group of people and it is those people (elderly with pre existing conditions) who should be counselled to remain at home while the rest of the country should be allowed and encouraged to carry on.
The lib media will continue to spread their panic porn but as we already see it will be ignored and wind up causing the media to lose even more credibility.