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To: philman_36
Well - that's true MOST of the time - except when I had to make long-range hurricane forecasts to the 4-star and to DHS for planning purposes - or drought forecasts for the fire season.

We did a lot of planning for long-range to help with purchases and exercise planning. That used a lot of the long-range models - and those would sometimes be good - and sometimes crap - and it depended on stuff like MJO - AMO - all sorts of science and seasonalities.

37 posted on 05/20/2020 10:55:44 AM PDT by NELSON111 (Congress: The Ralph Wolf and Sam Sheepdog show. Theater for sheep. My politics determines my "hero")
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To: NELSON111
I'm willing to bet that you would admit that your type of modeling is vastly different from that described in the article and uses far more predictive norms.
Am I correct?
40 posted on 05/20/2020 11:00:52 AM PDT by philman_36 (Pride breakfasted with plenty, dined with poverty and supped with infamy. Benjamin Franklin)
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