And many more won't. The best stat to look at IMO is deaths versus cases. We don't know about all the cases until we get antibody tests, but for now we have to use what we got:
Spain 591 / 5,940: 9.9%
Italy 528 / 3,728: 14%
UK 511 / 3,592: 14%
France 431 / 2,752: 16%
Sweden 365 / 2,987: 12%
USA 275 / 4,615: 6%
Norway 43 / 1,522: 2.8%
Like you said we have to wait a year to see how this works out but the early numbers show that Norway has done the best keeping the deaths down from the inevitable cases. Cases are inevitable, especially if you buy into Sweden's theory. Deaths are not as inevitable. Some are and some are not.
UK 511
Italy 528
Spain 591
France 431
NY 1456
NJ 1157
Michigan 490
Sweden 365
Sweden is VASTLY better off than New York, New Jersey. And better off than the UK France Italy and Spain and all with no lockdowns.