"It's the economy, stupid." Someone beat an incumbent president with that strategy. And Trump is running with the worst unemployment since Herbert Hoover. He can try to distract with China and globalism, and it may please his base, but it's not going to matter to a lot of people hurt by Covid and the economic crash.
That “someone” is probably a “someone” for whom you voted, DoodleDawg — in 1992.
Bush-1 lost because he raised taxes after vowing that he wouldn’t.
No doubt the higher taxes pleased you.
No, that's not a distraction. That was the main source of independent votes in 2016 and will be even more important this time. That said, he will have to run on the getting the old jobs back versus the Dems promising an all new economy.