[Zhang Fei]

54-46 is a pretty good result, if it holds. Prior results since the 2010 redistricting:

2012 election^[50]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Buck McKeon (Incumbent)	121,593	55.0
	Democratic	Lee Rogers	106,982	45.0
Total votes			228,575	100.0
Turnout
	Republican hold

2014 election^[51]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Knight	60,847	53.0
	Republican	Tony Strickland	53,225	47.0
Total votes			114,072	100.0
Turnout
	Republican hold

2016 election^[52]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Knight (Incumbent)	138,755	53.1
	Democratic	Bryan Caforio	122,406	46.9
Total votes			261,161	100.0
	Republican hold

2018 election^[53]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Katie Hill	133,209	54.4
	Republican	Steve Knight (Incumbent)	111,813	45.6
Total votes			245,022	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

[napscoordinator]

I don’t know about a democratic stronghold. We had the seat from 1994-2018. Lost it in 2018 and got it back in a special election 18 months later. The two run again in November. Hopefully we keep it. Good win though regardless.

[skinndogNN]

You have to go to the playbook.

If a Democrat wins, it is a bell weather notice, if a Republican wins it is an anomaly.

[Agamemnon]

SO I guess that means that between this seat and the Wisconsin seat we only need 16 to flip the House now?

FReegards!

[Buckeye Battle Cry]

Now the Dems know exactly how many votes they need to “find” and report from their ballot harvest.

[italianquaker]

If the Republicans dont have their own plans to do ballot harvesting by now then shame on them.
Stop crying and fight

[fatima]

Oh wow,that’s great news.

[ridesthemiles]

Question:

IF every single mail in vote envelope signature MUST be checked against the signature on your voter registration-—

How could ANY results be available so quickly???

[Cowboy Bob]

Why can’t the Republicans ballot harvest too?

[minnesota_bound]

What about the votes that will be found in the trunk of a car owned by a democrat party official?