I made a mistake on the last projection calculated on 7 May, when I added in the case history factor. I should have realized this when the final numbers were much higher than previous projections, but I didn't, this added factor has given me fits. Recent days numbers have dropped significantly for the US and worldwide. I suggest waiting for another day or two past the usual weekend drop, before getting too excited. I added an actual deaths plot line. Below is the corrected version:
Daily fatality index:
Case index offset for daily fatality index - deaths follow over time, barring cure or more efficacious treatment: