When did my analysis ever say such a thing?
I was hoping that the shutdown could bring new cases down to a low level and mask wearing could finish it off.
We can’t keep the shutdown going. But we can certainly try everyone wearing a mask for a month.
One of the problems with the shutdown is that there were so many exceptions for essential businesses and no one was encouraged to wear masks, much less required to.
So it flattened the curve, but didn’t drop new cases much.
If we unwind the shutdown without masks, then the CDC’s new prediction of 3000 deaths a day in June is probably going to be on the lowside, and there will be temptation to go back into lock down and there will be significant consumer fear. Businesses will be open but customers will be scarce. I don’t think that’s a scenario that the flubros want, or that anyone wants.
I say we “all” wear masks for a month and reevaluate at the end of the month. Except those that can’t for a medical reason. And the Presidential guidelines call for those people not to be out at all.
I say we “all” wear masks for a month and reevaluate at the end of the month.
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And when we get to the end of a month and new cases keep occurring, then what, another month, and another? You are under the illusion you can control the world. You cannot. No one can.
By your own admission there are exclusions to the mask rule. Babies are not required to wear one. People with medical issues. So what happens? Does the virus magically exclude them? No, it just spreads more slowly, but it continues to spread.
The only way out is herd immunity. It is all that ever works, unless you want to wait for a magic flu shot which may never be developed. Remember the virus is in the corona family; the same family of viruses as the common cold. There is no flu shot for the common cold.