[daniel1212]

But of course they forecast what they think is more likely or probable, not what they are certain of.

But that the NOAA almost always predicts warmer-than-average temps is what is suspicious. See post Winter outlook 2018-2019 : How’d we do?

Meanwhile The Weather Company also got the last NE Winter wrong by predicting colder than normal temps: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3794812/posts

[9YearLurker]

Oh, sorry. Didn’t actually read the whole post.

Yeah, makes sense in the current climate, shall we say.