Three "pandemic wave scenarios" were published yesterday and reported here earlier today. These guys think it will be with us a LONG time at different intensities and different geographies. Fortunately these viruses tend to mutate toward less and less lethality (if I understand the literature correctly).
They compared Scenario 2 to the 1918 Influenza pandemic. From what I've read, the big fall surge in 1918 was largely driven by troops returning from Europe, so (hopefully) that won't apply in 2020.
