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To: jonrick46

excerpt: probably Italy he said.
and where did the virus in Italy come from? China. never mind Cuomo has made all the FakeNewsMSM with this latest get-Trump rubbish. if there really were a serious pandemic, all these political games would not be happening...at least not to the degree thay have been so far, it being a presidential election year.

who did the research?

24 Apr: Daily Mail: Coronavirus spread silently through cities including New York, Chicago, Boston, San Francisco and Seattle in February when the world was focused only on China, new study claims
•Research by Northwestern University estimates that 28,000 people across five major cities were infected when only 23 cases had been confirmed
•They based their research on population density, travel habits in each of the cities and when they were placed in lockdown
•The researchers say New York City likely had more than 10,000 cases when only one had been detected
•If correct, it means the fatality rate is far lower than the current estimate of around five percent
By Jennifer Smith
Their estimates were shared by The New York Times on Thursday and paint a worrying picture of how far behind the US was in responding to the threat...

They base their research on the number of people traveling to the US, especially New York, from China and Europe in the weeks before travel was suspended by President Trump...

***It is unclear how exactly they reached their estimates or how accurate it is.

‘In the background, you have this silence chain of transmission of thousands of people,’ ***Alessandro Vespignani, who led the team, said...
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8249753/Coronavirus-spread-silently-major-cities-February-world-watching-China.html

31 Aug 2014: Science Mag: Disease modelers project a rapidly rising toll from Ebola
By Kai Kupferschmidt
***Alessandro Vespignani hopes that his latest work will turn out to be wrong. In July, the physicist from Northeastern University in Boston started modeling how the deadly Ebola virus may spread in West Africa. Extrapolating existing trends, the number of the sick and dying mounts rapidly from the current toll—more than 3000 cases and 1500 deaths—to about 10,000 cases by 24 September, and hundreds of thousands in the months after that. “The numbers are really scary,” he says—although he stresses that the model assumes control efforts aren’t stepped up. “We all hope to see this NOT happening,” Vespigani writes in an e-mail...
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2014/08/disease-modelers-project-rapidly-rising-toll-ebola

CDC: 2014-2016 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa
Two and a half years after the first case was discovered, the outbreak ended with more than 28,600 cases and 11,325 deaths...


35 posted on 04/26/2020 10:54:38 PM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: MAGAthon

this links to the so-called model:

26 Apr: Northeastern University: The coronavirus was in the US in January. We need to understand how we missed it.
by Laura Castañón
But SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, was already circulating in major U.S. cities, according to Alessandro Vespignani, Sternberg Family distinguished university professor, who directs Northeastern’s Network Science Institute...

The discovery that the virus was already circulating in the U.S in January comes from a model that Vespignani and his colleagues have been using to study and predict the global spread of the virus. The model relies on human mobility and patterns of interaction, as well as the infection dynamics of the virus.
“The model allows us to go into what we call the invisible stage of the epidemic in the United States,” Vespignani says. “We can simulate the arrival of infected people that were starting local transmission chains.”
“The model allows us to go into what we call the invisible stage of the epidemic in the United States,” Vespignani says. “We can simulate the arrival of infected people that were starting local transmission chains.”

Research that the group released last month (LINK) shows that the cordoning off of cities within China, as well as travel restrictions implemented by countries around the globe, came too late. The coronavirus was already out.
It was January—the height of flu season, winter colds, and other respiratory illnesses. Even the few people with severe cases would not have drawn much attention without a history of recent travel to China...

***Cities that are hubs for international travel from China—New York, Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles—saw the earliest cases in the U.S...

By the time the U.S. was turning away or quarantining travelers from China, the coronavirus was already spreading through U.S. cities, and new cases were coming from Europe and other areas.
https://news.northeastern.edu/2020/04/26/covid-19-was-in-the-us-in-january-we-need-to-understand-how-we-missed-it/

good luck finding Cuomo’s gotcha Trump rubbish in the above.


36 posted on 04/26/2020 11:05:23 PM PDT by MAGAthon
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