The doctor missed the point if he though the lockdown was about reducing deaths.
The lockdown had one purpose - managing workflow at the hospitals. In that it worked - lots of empty hospital beds. But in the long run, lockdown won’t save lives or prevent anyone from getting the disease.
And that purpose has been fulfilled, the lockdown no longer has a reason for continuing.
“In that it worked”
What if COVID-19 wouldn’t have produced that overwhelming patient flow? What if you were just ringing the bell to keep the elephants away?
The lockdown had one purpose - managing workflow at the hospitals. In that it worked - lots of empty hospital beds. But in the long run, lockdown wont save lives or prevent anyone from getting the disease.
Systems are complex and uncontrollable.
Water cycle
Nitrogen cycle
Carbon cycle
circulatory system
respiratory system
digestive system
economic system.
weather
climate
etc
But the real problem is that the study of systems leads to the word GOD, and we can’t have that because we are god.
My fear is the success of the lock-down misleads people to think it was all unnecessary and we should recklessly just go back to 100% normal activities.
You can see the exponential growth that was happening before the lock-down - then it went immediately flat because we all stayed home.
NYC was not a hoax. Wuhan was not a hoax. You only need to see the measures the CCP continues to take to know how fearful they are of it.
I’m all for getting back to work and opening businesses - WITH CAUTION: masks, distancing, making sure you wash hands excessively, etc.. Otherwise all this pain could easily go to waste and it blows back up in our faces.
I’d prefer a study about transmission rates between people being in crowded areas outside vs. inside. I believe this is one aspect we really got wrong. People out in the sun, at parks, fresh air, might have a very low transmission risk....vs clubs, bars, restaurants, etc. In the 1917 pandemic, it’s my understanding that this was supposed to be a “lesson learned” - people seemed to recover better outside. Sunlight? Humidity? I don’t know but we should pay closer attention to this.