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To: BlueStateRightist

And of course it’s not, but I don’t anticipate Sweden’s #s will be as bad as they could be. All models assume the Ro that is due to the virus itself, not the environment would be stable. It obviously is a mistaken assumption. Look at the stories we initially heard from Wuhan. The First Generations of transmissions sounds like the Ro and CFR was horrific. Now the virus we have circulating is some 100 generations of transmission down the line. Another 50 to 100 transmissions and it should be even less. I do think Sweden will fare worse for the wear but not as bad as the “models” predict because the “model” starts from a mistaken assumption.


10 posted on 04/19/2020 5:00:11 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: wastoute
I do think Sweden will fare worse for the wear but not as bad as the “models” predict because the “model” starts from a mistaken assumption.

The Swedes have it right.

11 posted on 04/19/2020 5:04:06 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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