Could happen here too... But staying locked down is a potential catastrophe. I’d like to think there has been a background buildup of “herd immunity” to dampen it down, but who knows>?
I live in New York City and ride mass transit on a daily basis..... I witness the crowds, the poor hygiene, the homeless people..... I believe New York City area reached peak infection prior to the lockdown.... If everything opened back up tomorrow here I don’t think there would be a significant spike in either infections, hospitalizations, or deaths.... there could be a spike in other parts of the country, but it’s not going to be worse than New York or Italy anywhere..... Remember the stories a few weeks ago about how England screwed up by trying to take the same path as Sweden, but then they changed their mind at the last minute, and it might be too late for them?.... Remember the stories about how millions were going to die in Iran because the government is so incompetent and religious leaders were telling people that Islam would protect them from the virus?..... Show me one country that has a million deaths, or half a million, or even a 100,000, or even 50,000?..... Are we to believe that the whole entire world is just fabulously fantastic at social distancing, and that’s what is keeping the numbers down?.... Not buying it, today I am officially a proud flu bro!