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US may have to endure social distancing until 2022 if no vaccine is quickly found, scientists predict
CNN via Yahoo News ^ | April 15, 2020 | CNN

Posted on 04/15/2020 6:30:14 AM PDT by John W

This may be the new normal for quite a while.

The US may have to endure social distancing measures -- such as stay-at-home orders and school closures -- until 2022, researchers projected on Tuesday. That is, unless, a vaccine becomes quickly available.

That's according to researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, who published their findings in the journal Science on Tuesday. Those findings directly contradict research being touted by the White House that suggests the pandemic may stop this summer.

The team at the Harvard School of Public Health used what's known about Covid-19 and other coronaviruses to create possible scenarios of the current pandemic.

"Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," they wrote in their report. "Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."

The Harvard team's projections also indicate that the virus would come roaring back fairly quickly once restrictions were lifted.

"If intermittent distancing is the approach that's chosen, it may be necessary to do it for several years, which is obviously a very long time," Dr. Marc Lipsitch, an author on the study and an epidemiology professor at the Harvard School of Public Health, told reporters.

Another important factor: Whether people become immune to the new coronavirus after they have been infected. That's not yet known.

(Excerpt) Read more at currently.att.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; fakenews; psuedoscientists
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1 posted on 04/15/2020 6:30:14 AM PDT by John W
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To: John W

What is the point of a vaccine for something that mutates?


2 posted on 04/15/2020 6:31:03 AM PDT by marron
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To: John W

This is all getting so ridiculous.


3 posted on 04/15/2020 6:31:54 AM PDT by Irenic (The pencil sharpener and Elmer's glue is put away-- we've lost the red wheelbarrow)
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To: John W

Cult News Network


4 posted on 04/15/2020 6:32:13 AM PDT by polymuser (It's discouraging to think how many people are shocked by honesty and so few by deceit. Noel Coward)
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To: John W

Uh, no. Aint gonna happen


5 posted on 04/15/2020 6:32:42 AM PDT by Afterguard (Deplorable me!)
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To: Irenic

Because this virus is going to behave in a way that is COMPLETELY different from any other virus that has previously landed on our shores.

Because, Trump.


6 posted on 04/15/2020 6:32:56 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Irenic

Scientists predict.

Oh ok ..


7 posted on 04/15/2020 6:32:57 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: John W

God saves. Not science. And it’s only by His Grace we have medical knowledge in the first place. He’ll rid and mitigate the world of the virus as He sees fit, in His timing.


8 posted on 04/15/2020 6:33:28 AM PDT by CondoleezzaProtege
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To: Irenic

Agreed. As far as I am concerned, it ends May 1st.


9 posted on 04/15/2020 6:33:28 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: John W

CNN via yahoo....your #1 source for slanted info 24/7/365.


10 posted on 04/15/2020 6:33:56 AM PDT by V_TWIN
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To: Col Frank Slade

Aren’t these the same guys who predicted that the ice cap at the North Pole would be entirely gone by 1988?


11 posted on 04/15/2020 6:34:16 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: Col Frank Slade

If State Governors are beginning to lose their grip on enforcing social distancing I’d like to see this pocket-protector crowd try to do it.


12 posted on 04/15/2020 6:34:57 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: marron

“What is the point of a vaccine for something that mutates?”

Do you even remotely know how that term is applied to things like this, or do you go by the “mutation” in terms of turtles turning into Ninja warriors?


13 posted on 04/15/2020 6:35:13 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Col Frank Slade

Also “may have to”...IOW we think, it could, uneducated guess.


14 posted on 04/15/2020 6:35:30 AM PDT by V_TWIN
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To: All
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

After reading this article about the school, it appears they need to focus more on cleaning up their own mess.

In interviews with The Crimson, those faculty, staff, and administrators said they believe the School of Public Health has developed a toxic culture that they attribute to Williams and her deputy Michael J. Grusby. Faculty and staff who take issue with the pair say they do not feel comfortable bringing complaints to human resources because Grusby oversees it, and that they have broader concerns about his demeaning and disrespectful treatment of faculty and staff.
15 posted on 04/15/2020 6:36:24 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: Irenic

It makes perfect sense to me. It is a political virus. That is why it must continue on and on.


16 posted on 04/15/2020 6:36:36 AM PDT by mosaicwolf
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To: John W

In your face types in New York City hardest hit
Film at 11


17 posted on 04/15/2020 6:37:28 AM PDT by HangnJudge (China Lied, People died, Never Forget, this Decade's 9-11)
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To: John W

LOL! No.


18 posted on 04/15/2020 6:38:01 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...siameserescue.org)
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To: mosaicwolf

Or we just have too damned many scientists who are
suffering from Jor-El Syndrome.


19 posted on 04/15/2020 6:38:15 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: VanDeKoik

Maybe I don’t. In other words, is the vaccine still effective when it comes back around in its mutated form, or do you then have to develop a new vaccine?


20 posted on 04/15/2020 6:38:20 AM PDT by marron
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