This is not correct, Andy. In the University of Washington Model (IMHE model) social distancing was assumed in the 100,000 then the 80,000 and now the 60,000 death projection. Without social distancing the model predicted deaths of 1 million+. Dr. Birx addressed this in the briefing today, explaining that the models assumed what happened in NYC and NJ would happen nationwide and fortunately that is not happening. This is part of the reason for the downward adjustment of the model.
You are wrong about being wrong and state the reason why you are wrong in your own statement, which if you would stop and THINK you would figure out for yourself.