Nobody is popping champagne corks. So there is still exponential growth in deaths. However, that growth is much smaller than was predicted as recently as four days ago. I get all that. What is your point here?
I would highly recommend you watch Bill Whittle’s new YT video on this subject, then let’s discuss.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6N-E-TQ4kA
10% of the workforce has lost its job in the last three weeks. Do you have any idea what they economic impact of this will be for the country? Do you know what the chance of death from Covid is for each American?
Mom, we know what the exponential growth rate was because it is shown in Travis's charts. What changed to keep it from increasing by a another factor of 100 two weeks from now. There is one thing only - we initiated social distancing.
It is like this. Everyone is driving 80mph on a densely packed interstate and a dense fog is rolling in. Modlers project 1000's will die from the pile-ups and this is advertised loudly and everyone slows down to 20 MPH and most pull off the road. Two days later, there were a couple of odd collisions an a couple of fatalities and everyone starts blaming the modelers for hotel bills and late deliveries and missed weddings. How did they get it so wrong??
Well no, they modeled what would happen if no one did anything, and seeing this the authorities and the driving public realized that they needed to engage in socially responsible behavior to prevent problems.
But you can't say, oh they were wrong, let's all get back on the freeway in dense fog and drive 80MPH.
The precipitating condition - dense fog - needs to go away.