Posted on 04/09/2020 12:31:45 PM PDT by Kaslin
RUSH: They owe us an explanation. Now, I touched on this yesterday. We are owed a huge explanation. So, 2.2 million deaths. “Oh, my God. Oh, my God. Oh, my God, 2.2. We gotta shut it down. And if we mitigate, maybe 240,000 deaths. If we social distance, we stay at home, if we shut down, if we wear masks, we do all this stuff, maybe a hundred thousand to 200,000, maybe 240,000.” Guess what?
Sixty thousand. “Fauci Slashes U.S. Death Projection, Raising Hope for Reopening.” The doomsayers get to get away with everything. “Fauci Slashes U.S. Death Projection, Raising Hope for Reopening.” What is wrong with this headline? Does Dr. Fauci have anything to do with reopening? Yes. That’s what’s wrong with the headline. This is a Bloomberg News story. “Top infectious disease official credits social distancing.” I’m gonna start calling BS on this.
Now, don’t misunderstand. I’m not saying it’s not important. I’m not saying it’s not relevant. But there is no way social distancing has made the difference in 2.2 million down to 60,000 dead. There is no way that social distancing made the difference from 240,000 dead projected now down to 60,000 dead. And what do you bet that number gets revised down in the coming days? There has to be something else going on here, and it has to be the projections were wrong in the first place because of the models, and we know that they were wrong.
But these guys get to revise their projections and hold on to their expertise status throughout the entire process. I just don’t believe social distancing has suddenly changed the data that lowers the forecast death toll from 240,000 to 60,000. We’re not stupid here.
And I’ll give you another bit of evidence for why I don’t believe this. California, oh, man, is this a huge See, I Told You So. Stanford researchers are now thinking, you know what, maybe it was herd immunity. Maybe the virus has been in California since last fall, and maybe in California they’ve developed an immunity to it, herd immunity. Most of the people that have been exposed to it got antibodies ’cause it makes no sense that in a state of 40 million the death toll is still under – I forget what it was — 750 a few days ago. It’s phenomenally low.
In the state of Oregon practically statistically zero deaths. And it’s not because of social distancing. They told us, they tried to tell us that social distancing is what made the difference in California. California had a two-day head start on social distancing over New York. New York has more deaths than Italy. Are you telling me — see, we’re not stupid here. And you aren’t, either. You’re telling me that a two-day head start on social distancing in California is the reason why there are so few deaths in California compared to New York?
The data is bad. The input data was bad. We told you this my first day back. When I found out that that U.K. modeler could change his outcome from 500,000 dead in the U.K. to 20,000 dead simply by factoring in social distancing, then what good was the first model? And if the model has that wide a variance, if you can input one data point and create this massive shift in outcomes on the model, what good’s the model?
But these people get to hold on to their expert status throughout all of these revisions. They haven’t been right from the get-go. But the doomsayers are never wrong because whatever ends up happening, they can claim credit for it because of their mistakes. “Well, yeah, of course we overshot, but because we overshot we scared the hell out of people, people social distanced, people stayed home. Of course our work is responsible for this.” It’s just the way it works. And everybody got scared. Can’t blame ’em. Everybody got scared into using the data that was trumpeted, put out.
But we are owed an explanation.
“One of President Donald Trump’s top medical advisers slashed projections for U.S. coronavirus deaths on Thursday, saying that only about 60,000 –” And, by the way, I don’t mean to say that 60,000 is insignificant. Those are people. They are loved ones. They are part of families. I’m not trying to be cavalier about it. I’m simply talking about the statistics and the numbers.
Remember, we started with 2.2 million, and they did that on purpose so that they could show great success, 2.2 million, now 60,000. Look at the great work. No. That’s not the way to look at because 2.2 was never an active, real number, and we shut down a $22 trillion economy because of it. And now the death is 60,000, which is on par with the number of flu deaths in America every year.
They told us that this week, remember, “This is gonna be… oh ho, the next two weeks it’s gonna be armageddon, it’s gonna be the apocalypse, it’s like gonna be bad.” And in these two weeks they’re revising everything down. Remember, they said these two weeks, you better expect the worst. We may not have a country after these next tweaks. There may not be enough people to go back work. It’s gonna be bad, it’s gonna be really, really bad out there.”
Now they’re revising the numbers down, the death numbers down during the apocalypse week. It’s a Bloomberg story, by the. “The falling projection, the result of aggressive social distancing behaviors Americans adopted to curb the spread of the virus, may accelerate Trump’s effort to develop a plan to urge Americans to leave their homes and return to work next month.”
I’ll tell you something I’m a little worried about. How many people are gonna be scared to leave their homes? How many Millennials are gonna be scared to death to leave? They’re scared to death anyway. They make up the snowflake generation. They’re scared by a shadow of a conservative on a college campus. It doesn’t even take a real conservative to scare ’em on a campus, just the shadow of one. And if they’re scared of a conservative shadow on a college campus, are they gonna be scared to go back to work? Be concerned. We’ll have to wait and see if it happens.
So here’s Dr. Fauci. “The real data…”
The real data? Oh, we’re talking about real data now?
“The real data are telling us that it is highly likely that we’re having a definite positive effect by this mitigation things that we’re doing — this physical separation — so I believe we are gonna see a downturn in that. And it looks more like the 60,000 than the 100,000 to 200,000. But having said that, we better be careful that we don’t say, ‘OK, we’re doing so well we can pull back.'”
Uh… I… (sigh) Folks, they’re gonna have to explain this, and I know how they’re gonna do it. The doomsayers are gonna tell us, “Hey,” they’re already setting the stage for doing it, “our policies, our requests for social distancing and all that made all the difference.” I don’t…
If we’re gonna say that, that means we have to trust the computer modeling data and that’s the data that’s been all over the place, 2.2 million, 200,000, 100,000, 240,000, 500,000 U.K. The numbers have been all over the place, revised down
I go once a week to the market. I wear a mask, hat and old clothes. When I return I go to a “wash area” we have set up where I take off my clothes and they go into a bag plastic bag. I then immediately take a hot shower. The clothes and the towels I used in the bathroom are washed immediately in the washing machine in hot water, then drier heated. The grocery packages to the extent possible are wiped with a disinfectant and a bleach solution. I also clean off the car handles, steering wheel and anywhere else touched with disinfectant and bleach, and then proceed to also clean the doorknobs where I came in.
This is our normal procedure now.
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Does somebody in your household have a serious underlying health condition? If not, you are living in utter FEAR.
If you are “owed an explanation” you need to understand models better.
You can model things where the relevant variables are known. In this case, they were not and are not known.
For example: China extensively decontaminated Wuhan City for a month while welding people into their homes.
Are Manhattan and Brooklyn going to be inhabitable in the Fall? Please model it.
OK, what’s your model based on?
Nothing, that’s what. GIGO.
What church are you affiliated with? And is that your main profession or a sideline?
The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.
No one I know who studies the economy thinks we will avoid a Great Depression and we could be facing a full-on economic collapse...
And if we reopen too early the economy will collapse anyway as the deaths pile up. I really hope we can reopen everything at the beginning of May without that happening. But I have my doubts and will not be going out except for groceries until the medical experts agree that we have passed our peak.
“You don’t know anyone who has died from this yet?”
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Nope.
I don’t know anyone who has died from it.
I don’t know anyone who has gotten hospitalized from it.
I don’t know anyone who has been quarantined with it.
I don’t know anyone who has been diagnosed with it.
I don’t even know anyone who has been tested for it.
And like Chicken Little and the Boy Who Cried Wolf, when something real comes -- because of this farce -- no one will listen.
There are people who should be held accountable...
President Trump GREW this economy to the strongest it's ever been before this happened. He continues to say we're going to bounce back faster than what anyone thinks.
It's not like we were in the great depression before. We had full record employment and jobs were coming back to the US. When this is over even MORE jobs will be coming back. Heck they already are. We're now making medical supplies here that were made overseas before. It might be a different economy but it's going to be strong economy.
Scott Adams said the other day....what would be the effect of everyone but essential workers taking a 2 month vacation at the same time?
I think our country can survive that scenario cause that's essentially what it is.
What BS? Do you have a handy quote? Or are you just a parrot?
It is important to remember that our ancestors fought the revolutionary war while smallpox was running through.
Now we shut down all they fought and died for...... and for what? This nothing burger?
We should be ashamed of ourselves.
Now the people who are stuck figuring what to do are getting second guessed by people who could not deal with this at all. It is really hypocritical for Rush and others to say they trust the President and his decisions, while distrusting nearly everyone he trusts to deal with this.
This is all about trade-offs. No one wants anyone to die of the virus, but already huge chunks of people can’t pay their rent and can’t buy food. Did you see the one-mile long swath of cars in line for food at a food bank in Pittsburgh a few days ago? Some are estimating that the $2 Trillion bail-out passed by Congress will keep the country going for a few weeks. If the country doesn’t get back to work soon the virus is going to be the least of the problems most people in the country will face....
Calling out your flubros on the flubro threads? Classy move, retard.
“McGee is over here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3833485/posts?page=40#40
Signaling to everyone that he’s been on the payroll of the Chinese.”
Well, if nobody you know has been tested for it that might explain why nobody you know has been diagnosed with it. As it happens my brother knows someone who has it. It’s not just a flu.
IMHE modelers should be wearing hats with stars and crescent moons on them.
when something real comes
You mean like the 460,000 CV cases and 16,000 deaths we have so far? Take a look at these graphs. Does that exponential curve appear flat yet?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
There are people who should be held accountable
I agree. The idiot spring breakers and corona partiers should be held accountable, preferably by community service at a NYC hospital without PPE.
“...I go once a week to the market.
I wear a mask, hat and old clothes.
When I return I go to a “wash area” we have set up
where I take off my clothes and they go into
a bag plastic bag.
I then immediately take a hot shower...”
-
I go several times a week to the grocery and hardware store.
I have never worn a mask.
I do not do anything any differently now than I have ever done,
except the places I would normally go to are closed due to the panic.
I refuse to live my life in fear.
I know people who have died from it.
I know people who have been exposed to it.
I know people who are in quarantine because of it.
OK, Buttinski.
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