[Paladin2]

"It originally had an upward range of 2.2 million before they reversed themselves after the first week to 200K. Not the IHME model."

That's exactly the point I was going to go back and review. It'd be interesting to see the contemporary IHME model output.

[semimojo]

It'd be interesting to see the contemporary IHME model output.

They don't have the progression of their projections on the website that I can find but I think their first estimate was around 90k.