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The Curve is Already Flat
Morozcoforge ^ | 5/5/2020 | AJ

Posted on 04/07/2020 1:50:30 PM PDT by KierkegaardMAN

More than half of U.S. states have instituted lockdown measures in response to the spread of the COVID-19 virus. These policies are justified as an effort to “flatten the curve,” a phrase coined by Dr. Howard Markel, a pediatrician, and professor of medical history at the University of Michigan.

The hypothetical COVID curve we are trying to flatten — the time rate at which the number of people needing intensive medical treatment will grow to exceed our capacity to care for them — is based on assumptions about when COVID was brought to the US, the speed of its transmission, and the ability of our healthcare system to accommodate the most severely affected patients. By isolating citizens in their homes, lockdown policies intend to slow the rate of infection, thereby “flattening” the curve, which will allow us to ration healthcare resources over time.

(Excerpt) Read more at morozkoforge.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
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Now this makes sense How dare we think outside of the box!
1 posted on 04/07/2020 1:50:30 PM PDT by KierkegaardMAN
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To: KierkegaardMAN

Nice to see the lockdowns and other steps are finally WORKING!


2 posted on 04/07/2020 1:53:03 PM PDT by BobL
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To: BobL

A doctor friend of mine said that the lock-down and virus ordeal should be over by the end of May-beginning of June.


3 posted on 04/07/2020 1:56:04 PM PDT by cloudmountain
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To: cloudmountain

May


4 posted on 04/07/2020 1:56:50 PM PDT by Boardwalk
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To: cloudmountain
A doctor friend of mine said that the lock-down and virus ordeal should be over by the end of May-beginning of June.

That will be 1 month too late for the economy.
5 posted on 04/07/2020 1:59:53 PM PDT by TexasGunLover
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To: TexasGunLover

No it won’t. Trump said he built a great economy and that he will do it a second time.


6 posted on 04/07/2020 2:01:25 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: dynoman

Better too.


7 posted on 04/07/2020 2:02:28 PM PDT by Boardwalk
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To: KierkegaardMAN
Yep. I believe Trump knows these things. Partially as the man responsible for the outcome and partially politically he had to play the worst case scenario, dealing with it in real time, before all these facts were in evidence.

Some people will be back to work the Monday after next. Slowly over a few weeks the country will begin opening up, and the I Told You So's will fly.

On balance though, and assuming Trump starts putting the accelerator to the floor and leading the re-opening and success at getting out the antibody testing, he will be judged well for the approach by the few in the US capable of rational thought.

It's easy to say NOW that we knew 8 weeks ago it would turn out like this.

8 posted on 04/07/2020 2:05:09 PM PDT by tinyowl
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To: Boardwalk

Certainly different.


9 posted on 04/07/2020 2:05:15 PM PDT by Boardwalk
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To: KierkegaardMAN

BREAKING NEWS: Trump sidelines watchdog tapped for virus rescue oversight. Details to come.

-MSN


10 posted on 04/07/2020 2:05:48 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Epstein pulled a Carradine, the bozo.)
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To: KierkegaardMAN

I don’t know yet.

New cases in the US are (just) starting to level off a tiny bit.

But we still had 30,000 new cases, just yesterday.

And 30,000 new cases, the day before.


11 posted on 04/07/2020 2:09:58 PM PDT by cba123 ( Toi la nguoi My. Toi bay gio o Viet Nam.)
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To: KierkegaardMAN

I would not place too much comfort in the hospitalization trends... In my area, hospitals won’t admit you unless you have serious trouble breathing. Too many of the people sent home end up dead.


12 posted on 04/07/2020 2:12:18 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: TexasGunLover

If they try to push this into May, we will look like a Mad Max movie come June.


13 posted on 04/07/2020 2:12:39 PM PDT by Codeflier (Covid-19 taught me: Two types of "conservatives", frightened safety seekers vs. freedom lovers)
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To: cba123

I don’t even trust the numbers


14 posted on 04/07/2020 2:13:38 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: cloudmountain

Praying for sooner.

Texas’ peak is supposedly at end of April/beginning of May.

(And, I know there is a back-side to curve.)


15 posted on 04/07/2020 2:15:20 PM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: KierkegaardMAN
Notice how the ubiquitous COVID map from Johns Hopkins is no longer featured as the backdrop of every talking head's set, and it is no longer updated every few hours.

This is because we hit the peak last Saturday ! Trump's initial instincts were right, worst is over before Easter !!!

16 posted on 04/07/2020 2:17:55 PM PDT by SecondAmendment (This just proves my latest theory ... LEFTISTS RUIN EVERYTHING)
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To: SecondAmendment

NY and NJ had the worst day for deaths today. no time to celebrate.


17 posted on 04/07/2020 2:23:20 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: cloudmountain

“A doctor friend of mine said that the lock-down and virus ordeal should be over by the end of May-beginning of June.”

I could believe it. But one thing that I haven’t yet seen is any plan for ending the lockdown.

For example, we know who essential workers are (like garbage collectors) and they keep working through this.

But is there any plan to identify and limit people who are simply NOT NEEDED for our society to operate? Example, if Disneyland and movie theaters stayed closed for a year, would that hurt the country? On the other hand non-union auto workers will eventually be needed to replace older cars with reliable new ones...so they’re kind of a middle ground. [and no, I’m not talking about people out of a job, that is a separate issue]

It seems to me that if we simply go back to ‘business as usual’, we’ll see an outbreak that will make today’s levels look like a joke.


18 posted on 04/07/2020 2:23:48 PM PDT by BobL
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To: Codeflier

I don’t have anything around that could compare to his Interceptor.

Besides nowhere to run with that blower except a track.

Still, one drive would be great.


19 posted on 04/07/2020 2:24:43 PM PDT by wally_bert (Spend like you were going to the electric chair!)
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To: cloudmountain

May. Lovely. Thanks, China!


20 posted on 04/07/2020 2:26:14 PM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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